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In our continued effort to help skilled traders/investors understand the future risks associated with geopolitical market turmoil, the EU Elections next week and the continued US/China trade war, this Part III of our Sector Rotation article will highlight certain sectors that we believe may continue...
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Technical Traders Ltd.
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Chris Vermeulen
on
05-21-2019
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Filed under: oil, stocks, 2020, China, US, eu, trade, rotation, currencies, war, effects, hot, elections, iran [Edit Tags]
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In PART I of this report we talked about and showed you the charts of the Hang Seng and DAX index charts and what is likely to unfold. In today’s report here we touch on the US markets. As we've suggested within our earlier research posts this year, US election cycles tend to prompt massive...
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Technical Traders Ltd.
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Chris Vermeulen
on
05-14-2019
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Filed under: market, trend, China, US, election, issues, trade, tariff, conflict, 2, trump, part, bush, 1 [Edit Tags]
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It is becoming evident that the US/Chinese trade issues are going to become a point of contention for the markets going forward. We've been review as much news as possible in an attempt to build a consensus for the future of the US markets and global markets. As of last week, it appears any potential...
Posted to
Technical Traders Ltd.
by
Chris Vermeulen
on
05-13-2019
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Filed under: index, market, trend, China, US, trade, america, deal, seng, dax, tariff, hang, weekly [Edit Tags]
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Today, the US increased tariffs on $200B of Chinese goods as the US/China trade deal breaks down. China has vowed to retaliate for the move. The past week has seen the global markets shocked by two items: Iran sanctions and US/China trade breakdown. The markets had been expecting a US/China trade deal...
Posted to
Technical Traders Ltd.
by
Chris Vermeulen
on
05-13-2019
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Filed under: market, Stock, China, US, ym, trade, 200, SL, billion, tariffs, GC, deals [Edit Tags]
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Smart traders are already asking themselves “where is the bottom for this move”. They've likely been through these types of rotations in market price before and understand the fundamentals of the US economy are strong enough to support further upside price activity in the near future...
Posted to
Technical Traders Ltd.
by
Chris Vermeulen
on
05-10-2019
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Filed under: dollar, technical, analysis, fibonacci, China, US, ym, out, shake, Fed, chart, bullish [Edit Tags]
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Unless you were following our research, see below, and were already aware of the many warning signs we've been posting in our continued efforts to help traders and to help educate skilled investors, you were probably caught completely off guard by the news of near trade tariffs last Sunday, May 5...
Posted to
Technical Traders Ltd.
by
Chris Vermeulen
on
05-07-2019
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Filed under: vix, market, Stock, may, China, US, ym, INDU, issues, cycle, trade, indication, tarrifs, shockwave, july, dolar [Edit Tags]
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Our proprietary price cycle tool is showing us that the Daily Gold cycles may dive a bit lower, possibly into the $1250 to $1265 level, over the next 3~7+ days before reaching an ultimate low. We've been covering the precious metals markets like hawks because of our proprietary price modeling tools...
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Now that the April 21 ~ 24 Gold “momentum base” prediction that we've been discussing for the past 4+ months has past and appears to be accurate, we think it is time to start warning of increased market volatility and the potential for a market “shake-out” to happen. Last...
Posted to
Technical Traders Ltd.
by
Chris Vermeulen
on
04-29-2019
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Filed under: spy, gold, oil, april, may, trigger, ADL, fibonacci, China, crude, nasdaq, US, Europe [Edit Tags]
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Longtime readers know how much I respect and rely on the Gavekal group for thought-provoking research. They have a truly unique organization, one in which even junior analysts can question conventional wisdom and ask uncomfortable questions. Moreover, they aren’t afraid to let the world (or at...
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IN THIS ISSUE 1. Is China’s Economy in Trouble? The Answer is Maybe 2. China’s “Fifth Plenum” Gathering in Beijing This Week 3. Fed Lift-off: Not Tomorrow, December Move Still Uncertain 4. Advance 3Q GDP Report Expected to Disappoint on Thursday 5. Is America Still #1 in the World...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. August Unemployment Rate Fell to Seven-Year Low 2. US Economic Outlook For the Second Half of 2015 3. Inflation Still Running Well Below the Fed’s 2% Target 4. Stronger Dollar Could Hamper Growth This Year & Next 5. New China Economic Data Point to Further Slowdown 6. Fed...
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“The one thing I know for sure about China is, I will never know China. It's too big, too old, too diverse, too deep. There's simply not enough time.” – Anthony Bourdain, Parts Unknown Much of the world is focused on what is happening in Greece and Europe. A lot of people are...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Another Ho-Hum, Disappointing Jobs Report For June 2. June Consumer Confidence Was Up More Than Expected 3. Gallup Job Creation Index at Record High May/June 4. China’s Stock Markets Imploded Over the Last Month 5. Editorial: China’s Big, Misguided Stock Market Gamble Overview...
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For the last four years, I have been highlighting the idea that when Beijing floats the renminbi, the currency may go down, not up, which is the exact opposite of what those who accuse China of currency manipulation believe would happen. I had this very argument with Lindsey Graham two weeks ago at a...
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IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Economic Reports Suggest a Sluggish Second Quarter 2. China Became the World’s Largest Economy in 2014 3. Comparing Different Economies by Purchasing-Power Parity 4. Should Americans Fear an Economic Crash in China? Overview For the first time in history, the People’s Republic...