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Understanding/Applying "Feedback Loops"

FEEDBACK LOOPS: A VICIOUS CYCLE . I’m slowly yellow-highlighting passages on every page of the little gem of a book I found at the annual New Paltz library sale: THE RETURN OF DEPRESSION ECONOMICS (1999) by Paul Krugman. For those of you who are...

Published Tue, Aug 08 2008 12:51 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Trends, Financial Crisis, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Big Picture View, US Housing Crisis
Monday Weekly Overview Sample Letter

Richard Schwartz's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Mon, Jul 07 2008 8:19 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Alan Greenspan, US Economy, Socialism, Keys to the Market, Politics, Economic Data, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, Trades, The Big Picture, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Fixed Income, Rallies, Investment Themes, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Economic Common Sense, Recessions, Spin, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, Europe, John McCain, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Democracy, Capitalism, Big Picture, S&P 500, Dow Industrials, Energy, Economic Trends, Bear Markets, Economics, Crude Oil, Bullish on America, Energy Sevice, Foreign Oil Dependency, Bureaucracy, America, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Big Picture View, Lobbying, Business, CNBC, Longs, Profit, Summer Rally, Income Investors, National Bureau of Economic Research, Barak Obama
We Need To Move Past Oil!

YOUR ALTERNATE CLEAN, GREEN ENERGY WEEKEND UPDATE With not much stock market stuff to write about since I don’t want to recommend buying or selling this morning as we all should have our portfolios hunkered down and pretty much in place for a rocky...

Published Fri, Jul 07 2008 8:49 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Climate Action Partnership, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Oil, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Investment Themes, The Principle of Understanding Value, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Venture Capital, Terrorism, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, OPEC, Global View, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Energy, CPST, FSLR, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, Economic Trends, Crude Oil, Gas Prices, Driving, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Boone Pickens, Natural Gas Vehicles, Wind Turbines, Lifestyle, Cap & Trade, Big Picture View, Oil Exploration, Business, AMSC
Respect The Bear But Nibble On Energy Savers

MORE RECOMMENDATIONS ON MY NEW ENERGY SAVERS THEME On Friday, June 13 th , I began a new investment theme, what I called the Energy Savings (Savers) Theme . Essentially a new theme is when some macro force is seen as boosting a whole group of companies...

Published Tue, Jul 07 2008 8:52 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Trading, Green Energy, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Oil, Extended Bear Markets, The Big Picture, Investment Themes, Stock Market Lessons, The Principle of Proper Money Management, The Principle of Understanding Value, Energy Conservation, Battery Technology, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Energy, CPST, CHP, BCON, Power Conversion, WGOV, Energy Savings, Energy Controls, MXWL, COMV, Alternative Clean Green, ITRI, ENOC, BMI, Economic Trends, Chart Patterns, Charts, Bullish on America, Natural Gas, Foreign Oil Dependency, Lifestyle, AMSC, ALTI
America's Path Forward

A Recap of: THE WORLD IN 2020 : POWER, CULTURE AND PROSPERITY By Hamish McRae (1994) Before my memory fades, let me recap a bit of the fact and opinion filled book I read on my vacation. Essentially Mr. McRae, an acclaimed commentator with a 25-year career...

Published Wed, Jul 07 2008 9:31 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, US Economy, Politics, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Economic Common Sense, Consumer Spending, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Global View, Global Economy, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Congress, Big Picture, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bullish on America, Bureaucracy, De-Industrialization, America, Culture, Trade, 2020, Natural Resources, Government, Hamish McRae, Change, Lifestyle, Living Standards, Service Sector, Telecommuting, Demographics
San Jose to Lake Tahoe

Just got back from vacation and before jumping back headlong into the stock market again, thought I'd relive and relate the highlights of my trip. My best, Richard A RECAP OF LAKE TAHOE & SAN JOSE Before my memory fades, let me recap Lucy and...

Published Tue, Jul 07 2008 8:42 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Perspective, Agricultural Commodities, Global Warming, Capitalism, Gasoline, Big Picture, Sell in May & Go Away, Gas Prices, Tourism, Driving, Bullish on America, Trout Fishing, Lake Placid, Airlines, Redwood trees, San Jose, Farming, Cellphones, Silicon Valley, Swimming, Ausable River, Sierra Nevada's, Snow, Sports Book, Lake Tahoe
Sample Monday Overview Letter

Richard Schwartz 's PRINCIPLES OF THE STOCK MARKET A learning, teaching, always evolving stock market letter and advisory service Seventeenth Consecutive Year of Publication ; Letter #1; September 18 th , 1990 Post Office Box 1236 · New Paltz...

Published Mon, Jun 06 2008 9:55 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Gold, (GLD), Investing Strategies, US Economy, Personal Remarks, Market Bottoms, The Principle of Primary Trend, Global Investing, Update On The Stock Market, Weekly Letter, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Jim Rogers, George Soros, Mama Bears, The Principle of History, Papa Bears, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Recession, Trends, The Principle of Proper Money Management, Globalization, Trend Reversals, 1974, 1973, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, History, Gold View, Bear Market Rallies, Global View, Global Economy, Stock Market, US Presidential Election, Capitalism, Big Picture, Energy, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Bear Markets, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology, Crude Oil, 1932, 1929, Bullish on America, Inverse Funds, Energy Sevice
UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET: Written Wed., June 18, 2008: 6:30 a.m.

Wednesda y, June 18 th , 2008 : Woke up singing this morning … “Doo-da, Doo-da”… and I don’t sing! Watched the coronation of the Boston Celtics as NBA champs last night … “Goin’ to run all night, Goin’...

Published Wed, Jun 06 2008 9:02 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, The Big Picture, Recession, Financial Crisis, Economic Common Sense, Stock Market, Commodity Inflation, Big Picture, Credit Crisis, Economic Trends, The Principle of Crowd Psychology, Financial Media, Stock Market Media, Bear Markets, Economics, Mr. Market, Investor Psychology
Once a Century Day of Reckoning Starting?

THE BIG PICTURE Ok, here’s a Big Picture of where America and we Americans stand today. A fairly downbeat Big Picture so buckle your seatbelts. America has been on the verge of a major comeuppance for many, many years. But its been postponed and...

Published Mon, Jun 06 2008 8:44 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Stagflation, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, The Principle of Primary Trend, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve, Oil, Crashes, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Elliott Wave Principle, Recession, Agricultural Commodities, Financial Crisis, Trader Vic, Vic Sperandeo, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Industrial Economy, Bear Market Legs, Bear Market Rally, Discounting Mechanism, Reflex Rally, History, Bear Market Rallies, John McCain, Democracy, Capitalism, Real Estate, Robert Reich, Ben Bernanke, Gasoline, Commodity Inflation, Hyperinflation, Congress, Recession Depression, Peter Schiff, Heating Fuel, Big Picture
US Slowdown Spreading Global

GLOBAL VIEW . Yep, when I started reading the Bloomberg newswire this morning, I found: (1) that European “retail sales declined -2.9% in April, more than three times as much as economists forecast,” (2) that March’s retail spending...

Published Wed, Jun 06 2008 8:49 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Emerging Markets, Recession, Global View, Asia, Global Economy, Europe, Wall Street View, Fronteir Countries, Developing Countries
Oil Near a Peak? Yes.

OIL VIEW . I’ve been reading a lot about oil, the current state and the history of oil as we see prices keep rising and we all wonder where a top is. So below are some interesting tidbits which I’ve unearthed from the Internet (a great modern...

Published Thu, May 05 2008 1:56 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Value View, Stagflation, Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Geopolitics, US Treasuries, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Oil, The Principle of History, Rallies, Investment Themes, Trend Reversals, Terrorism, Iraq, Iran, OPEC, History, Flight to Safety
Don't Be Waylaid by Economic Spin!

THE BIG PICTURE Last Monday I presented the bull’s three pronged case , that: (1) the credit crisis is past it’s worst stages, (2) that we can skirt a recession or just experience a mild one and (3) that we have good value in stocks today...

Published Wed, May 05 2008 10:03 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Stagflation, Inflation, Jobs Report, US Economy, Economic Data, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Economy Weekly, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Deflation, Recession, Globalization, Bretton Woods, Economic Common Sense, Money Supply, Manufacturing, Consumer Spending, Recessions, Service Economy, Industrial Economy, Spin
Don't Let Hot Solar Stocks Distract You!

YOUR WEEKEND ALTERNATIVE , GREEN CLEAN ENERGY UPDATE I haven’t issued a clean, green update in quite a while. Distracted by other areas. But watching my IRA consistently grow – holding almost only alternative, clean, green stocks -- in spite...

Published Fri, May 05 2008 9:29 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Green Energy, Green Investing, (HOKU), (PLUG), (CHCHF), Climate Action Partnership, Alternative Energy, US Economy, Portfolio Strategy, Oil, The Big Picture, The Principle of Relative Strength, Investment Themes, Trends, Global Warming, Energy Conservation, Solar, Venture Capital, Terrorism, Battery Technology
Seeing the Other Side: The Bull's Case

T HE BIG PICTURE : Written Monday, May 19th, 2008 Let’s make the three-pronged bullish Big Picture case this morning. About time, right? 1. The bullish argument starts with the assumption that the “worse financial crisis since the Great Depression”...

Published Tue, May 05 2008 1:17 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, Inflation, US Economy, Bullish Signs, Weekly Letter,