April 2008 - Principles of the Stock Market

Richard Schwartz, who loves to share his experience and knowledge with his many readers, has worked in the stock market and financial services industry for over 35 years. His lifetime stock market/economics reading list is approaching 175 books. Richard is currently employed at a financial firm writing a money management advisory and trading the firm’s capital while continuing to publish his “Principles of the Stock Market” newsletter.

Principles of the Stock Market

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Technicals Say More Rally Ahead

TECHNICAL VIEW . April 29th, 2008: The Dow Industrials bullishly pushed up and out of its 3-month trading range on Friday, April 18 th joining the Dow Transports to the upside. Bullish. A number of other key indices, like the Nasdaq Composite did so as...

Published 04-29-2008 8:58 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Portfolio Strategy, Trades, A Line, The Principle of Technical Analysis
March 17th, 2008: Fateful Day Turned Markets

UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 29th, 2008: 6:30 a.m. The stock market has some uncertainty – there’s that awful word again – about tomorrow’s Federal Reserve 2:15 p.m. interest rate policy announcement. For the first time in a very long time...

Published 04-29-2008 8:50 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Government Intervention, Elliott Wave Principle
"Are Emerging Markets Overpriced?"

I was just asked: “Are emerging markets overpriced?” Let me answer that question for all of us. Emerging markets are fairly valued. Not overvalued, considering their substantial going forward growth prospects but not undervalued either considering they...

Published 04-23-2008 8:57 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, Investing Strategies, The Principle of Primary Trend, Brazil, Latin America, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend, Emerging Markets
Tradiing Range on Verge of Buy Signal.

TECHNICAL VIEW . Wednesday, April 23rd, 2008 There’s still a bit of doubt whether we’ve now broken out of the wide and volatile trading range we’ve been in every since late January to the upside. And whether it will stick. At least in my mind. My reasoning...

Published 04-23-2008 8:53 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Charting, Bullish Signs, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Dow Transports, Day to Day Action, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Portfolio Strategy, A Line, The Principle of Technical Analysis
China Scale-In Buy Starts Today!

SCHWARTZ BUY RECOMMENDATION this morning. Yes, with China (domestically) down -50% off its peak and the related Chinese region indices down slightly less but now showing some signs of a bottom and turn around, I’d suggest that its time to put some sidelined...

Published 04-23-2008 8:50 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, China View, Commodities, Investing Strategies, Market Bottoms, Brazil, Global Investing, Higher Higher & Higher Lows, Global Trend, The Principle of Technical Analysis
IBD 100 "New Names" Strategy

IBD 100 ‘NEW NAMES .’ Lots of new names this week. But nothing really thematically new after a deeper look into which new names popped up on this list of those stocks doing well, fundamentally and in stock performance. Most come from what I’ve taken to...

Published 04-22-2008 9:48 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, IBD 100 'New Names', Trades, The Principle of Relative Strength
Keeping an Eye on the Economy

THE ECONOMY Whatever the stock market does next, it’s been in rally mode for the last month, the US economy continues to sputter and slide lower. I was assessing the latest economic data late last week, starting with housing, and recent developments continued...

Published 04-22-2008 9:45 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, Economic Data, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Perspective
Prechter's Views Still Germane

THE BIG PICTURE I started reading another doom & gloom book yesterday. It’s Robert Prechter, Jr.’s 2002 CONQUER THE CRASH . I know, I know. Too much focus on the glass half full. Still I don’t want anything to sneak up on me, on us. Immediately upon...

Published 04-22-2008 9:39 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Macroeconomics, Portfolio Strategy, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes, The Big Picture, Deflation, Elliott Wave Principle
The Weak US Dollar & Fixed Incomes

A friend from up in Albany emailed me the following questions. I thought my answers may help others: ” I think I understand the basics of why the dollar has fallen so fast of late but I know you will know the details. It seems like there is always controversy...

Published 04-22-2008 9:34 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Macroeconomics, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Principle of History, Deflation, Fixed Income
Real & Paper Economies Have to Meet in the Middle; Right?

THE REAL ECONOMY VS. THE PAPER ECONOMY The Real Economy . Oil at a record, rice too. Gold hitting $1000 an ounce, silver way up. Corn prices boosted by ethanol demand. Food riots in Haiti, Guatemala, Argentina and more. 24 countries dropping food import...

Published 04-16-2008 8:32 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Gold, Alan Greenspan, Commodities, Soft Commodities, GDP, US Economy, Dow Transports, Economic Data, Global Investing, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Jim Rogers, The Big Picture, Global Trend
Which Way Next? Big Move Up Or Down?

TECHNICAL VIEW . Thrusday, April 10th, 2008 “A ‘line’ is a price movement extending two to three weeks or longer, during which period the price variation of both averages move within a range of approximately five per cent.” (Both averages meaning the...

Published 04-10-2008 8:19 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Market Corrections, The Principle of Technical Analysis, Accumulation
Forget Scapegoating! Look Forward

SCAPEGOAT BLAMING . Boy, am I’m getting tired of the carping! Day after day, article after article. All these writers seem to think there’s something to gain in blaming former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan for the US housing bubble, the credit...

Published 04-09-2008 9:40 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, Investing Strategies, Soft Commodities, Inflation, US Economy, Economic Data, The Fed, Stock Market Weekly, Macroeconomics, Commodity Bull Market, Economy Weekly, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, The Principle of History, The Big Picture, Global Trend
A "Line" Tells the Tale

UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Wednesday, April 9th, 2008 Another day of compacted volatility (is that an oxymoron?) yesterday. This time on the lowest daily trading volume in 2008. Thus the stock market continues to draw, in Wall Street jargon, a “line...

Published 04-09-2008 9:25 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Perspective, A Line
Only One Global Trend!

GLOBAL VIEW . Especially Important View Today! I’m looking around at as many global stock markets as possible this morning. To refresh myself as to exactly where they stand and what that bodes for the future. Broad brush thinking-wise, I want to confirm...

Published 04-08-2008 9:02 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Keys to the Market, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Brazil, Global Investing, Latin America, Macroeconomics, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, The Big Picture, Global Trend, The Principle of Relative Strength
A "Line" Begins to Form

UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . Tuesday, April 8 th , 2008 : Yesterday was the 4 th day in a row the stock market traded essentially flat. I believe we’re now building what the old timers called “a line.” Just means compacted trading action on lower trading...

Published 04-08-2008 8:57 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Day to Day Action, Update On The Stock Market, Daily Update, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, A Line

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April 2008 - Principles of the Stock Market

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Have You Seen This?

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Have You Seen This?

Technicals Say More Rally Ahead

March 17th, 2008: Fateful Day Turned Markets

"Are Emerging Markets Overpriced?"

Tradiing Range on Verge of Buy Signal.

China Scale-In Buy Starts Today!

IBD 100 "New Names" Strategy

Keeping an Eye on the Economy

Prechter's Views Still Germane

The Weak US Dollar & Fixed Incomes

Real & Paper Economies Have to Meet in the Middle; Right?

Which Way Next? Big Move Up Or Down?

Forget Scapegoating! Look Forward

A "Line" Tells the Tale

Only One Global Trend!

A "Line" Begins to Form