March 2008 - Principles of the Stock Market

Richard Schwartz, who loves to share his experience and knowledge with his many readers, has worked in the stock market and financial services industry for over 35 years. His lifetime stock market/economics reading list is approaching 175 books. Richard is currently employed at a financial firm writing a money management advisory and trading the firm’s capital while continuing to publish his “Principles of the Stock Market” newsletter.

Principles of the Stock Market

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Bear Market to Continue

THE STOCK MARKET: Monday, March 31st, 2008 I have to say the stock market is now stuck in a wide, very ragged trading range. It’s being supported by the Bernanke Put (just like the old Greenspan Put when stocks go down, the Fed steps in with something...

Published 03-31-2008 8:44 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Investing Strategies, Charting, Personal Remarks, Update On The Stock Market, Historical Perspectve, Extended Bear Markets
China's Bear Market Bottoms Out On ...

CHINA again and again. I write about China so much that I get bored with it. But China is the new global power and thus very important. Plus commodity advocate and long term perspective guru, who I haven’t seen call much wrong, Jim Rogers believes so...

Published 03-31-2008 8:38 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, The Coming China Wars, The Principle of Primary Trend, Seven Principles, Global Investing, Commodity Bull Market, Historical Perspectve, Jim Rogers
China's Shame Highlighted

GLOBAL VIEW . China & the Summer Olympics . I watched the always depressing BBC (British Broadcasting Corp.) news last night at 6 pm . (Right after Inside Racing which this time of year showcases the 3-year old horses getting ready for the Kentucky...

Published 03-31-2008 8:29 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, Climate Action Partnership, The Coming China Wars, Historical Perspectve
Markets, and Fed Chairmen too, Evolve

The Principle of Understanding History (one of my seven stock market principles). The 1930s Vs. Today . I just started reading another stock market book. This time it’s 100 YEARS OF WALL STREET (2000) by Charles R. Geisst. Turns out it’s a fast and easy...

Published 03-31-2008 8:10 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seven Principles, The Fed, Bubbles, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Federal Reserve, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes
Extended Bear Markets Don't Crash

FINISHING UP YESTERDAY’S BANK PANIC OF 1907 COMPARISON. My theme yesterday morning – that stock markets don’t crash during financial panics --was emphasized by yesterday’s price action. Pressure was again taken off the stock market by its big rally. Every...

Published 03-19-2008 10:35 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, Investing Strategies, Keys to the Market, Distribution, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective, Extended Bear Markets, Crashes
Visa IPO: The Rest of the Story

THE VISA IPO . Aha! The Real Story Comes To Light! When I heard of the upcoming initial public offering (IPO) of Visa a couple weeks back, I was shocked and wrote about it (Feb. 27 th ) wondering out loud why anyone would buy it. I did find the argument...

Published 03-18-2008 9:02 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Value View, Keys to the Market, IPO, Historical Perspectve, Perspective
Past is Prologue; Again

THE BANK PANIC OF 1907 . A Historical Guideline For Today . I’ve seen a couple articles comparing the ‘Panic of 1907’ to today’s ongoing financial crisis. Made sense to me especially after I read the following passage by John Spence of www.MarketWatch...

Published 03-18-2008 8:55 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Dow Theory, Keys to the Market, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Historical Perspectve, Federal Reserve
Hold Interest Rates Steady!

CHAIRMAN BERNANKE: “HOLD INTEREST RATES STEADY ON TUESDAY!” Hey, why not? What have we got to lose? Cutting interest rates sure isn’t working, right? Along with setting interest rate policy, the Fed has another role, that is being the “lender of last...

Published 03-13-2008 9:15 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Inflation, US Dollar, US Economy, Keys to the Market, The Fed, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market, Portfolio Strategy, Federal Reserve, Oil, Interest Rates
Catching A Falling Knife?

THROWING GOOD MONEY AFTER BAD . Let’s think back some so as not to lose perspective. Where to start? Yep, right at the top of the five year bull market and the top of the private equity boom. June 21 st , 2007: CHINA backed Blackstone Group’s IPO at ...

Published 03-13-2008 9:11 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Value View, Investing Strategies, US Dollar, Keys to the Market, Distribution, The Fed, Portfolio Strategy, Schwartz Rules, Historical Perspectve, Perspective
Bear Market Bottom or Bear Market Rally?

Bear Market BOTTOM or Bear Market RALLY ? I say a bear market rally . But it may look solid enough and get investors excited enough to really rally the stock market for some time. And if all the upside doesn’t come too fast and furious, say yesterday...

Published 03-12-2008 1:36 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Seven Principles, Historical Perspectve
Time Frame Strategies

PORTFOLIO STRATEGY: Monday, March10th, 2008 One Schwartz Rule that I’ve developed from my INVALUABLE day-trading experience of a couple years back is to SELL EARLY! , which led to the corollary rule to BUY EARLY! which has now morphed into the all purpose...

Published 03-12-2008 1:29 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, ETFs, Trading, Shorting, Green Investing, Soft Commodities, Charting, The Principle of Primary Trend, Day to Day Action, Portfolio Strategy, Schwartz Rules
First Bear After a Bull Market

THE ECONOMY: Weekly Review: Monday, March 10th, 2008 Here’s a quote I could lead off the economy or stock market sections with, from www.comstockfunds.com : “The world is burdened by excessive debt and leverage throughout a large part of the financial...

Published 03-12-2008 1:20 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, The Principle of Primary Trend, Weekly Letter, Macroeconomics, Bubbles, Economy Weekly
THE COMMODITY “BUBBLE” PARSED

THE COMMODITY “BUBBLE” PARSED Yep, BUBBLE is the new buzz word on Wall Street. Makes sense as CNBC has to keep people interested somehow as stocks lose ground and investors lose money. The show, after all, has to keep their ratings up, has to get all...

Published 03-06-2008 9:56 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Gold, Investing Strategies, Alternative Energy, Soft Commodities, Inflation, Bubbles, Commodity Bull Market
Update: Wednesday, March 5th, 2008

UPDATE ON THE STOCK MARKET . The bulls are now on CNBC saying it’s too late to sell. I beg to differ since I can’t figure out why it’s too late to sell. Maybe because some portfolios are already down big, -15% or more. But that still doesn’t mean they...

Published 03-06-2008 9:52 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Charting, Keys to the Market, Market Bottoms, Day to Day Action, Distribution, Update On The Stock Market
Bottom Fishing a Top

LONG US GOVERNMENT BOND VIEW . Bottom Fishing. Yep, I keep fishing for a bottom in the “long” US Treasury bond. I mean a bottom in yield, a top in price. All logic I can come up with says the 25-year bull market run to ever lower long term interest rates...

Published 03-06-2008 9:50 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, Inflation, Keys to the Market, Economic Data, Macroeconomics, US Treasuries

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March 2008 - Principles of the Stock Market

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Have You Seen This?

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Have You Seen This?

Bear Market to Continue

China's Bear Market Bottoms Out On ...

China's Shame Highlighted

Markets, and Fed Chairmen too, Evolve

Extended Bear Markets Don't Crash

Visa IPO: The Rest of the Story

Past is Prologue; Again

Hold Interest Rates Steady!

Catching A Falling Knife?

Bear Market Bottom or Bear Market Rally?

Time Frame Strategies

First Bear After a Bull Market

THE COMMODITY “BUBBLE” PARSED

Update: Wednesday, March 5th, 2008

Bottom Fishing a Top