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  • A fundamental shift in currency strategy.

    In This Issue..

    * Dollar no longer being bought as safe haven...
    * Jobs data in the US will disappoint...
    * Canadian dollar gets the green light...
    * Aussie up, Kiwi down...


    Good day... Friday is finally here. This has been a pretty busy week, and from the looks of things, today is going to be just as busy. The news wires are full of stories this morning, and today is what Chuck calls 'Jobs Jamboree Friday' so we can expect some good volatility in the markets. Lots to get to this morning, so let me get right to it.

    The weekly jobs numbers released yesterday morning showed 25k more people signed up for unemployment last week than the week prior. The number of continuing claims declined slightly, but remains above 4.5 million. The data confirms what everyone outside of CNBC has been saying for quite a while, this is a 'jobless recovery' (if you can even call it a recovery!). What growth we have had has been spurred by government spending, the private sector just isn't expanding, and won't probably expand for some time....
  • Weekly Job Losses Continue To Pile Up!

    In This Issue..

    * Back to the 'safe haven' trades...
    * The dollar hammers the euro!
    * It's a Jobs Jamboree Friday!
    * The SNB sells francs...

    Good day... And a Happy Friday to one and all! It's a draggin' the line Friday for me, but I'll make every attempt to turn it into a Fantastico Friday for sure! The Big Stock Sell off that I've warned about since probably June of last year, looks like it has finally arrived... Bringing with it, my biggest fears, that the link between all the risk assets, had not been broken completely, and this link has turned into a bloodletting on currencies and commodities...

    OK... So I got that out of the way, front and center this morning! You know... Ever since I began writing about a Big stock sell off, I told you that, should the link remain in place, and the currencies and commodities have adverse reactions, then we would come to the fork in the road... The people that bought currencies and commodities to keep up with their neighbors, in hopes of being able to brag about their returns at the next bar-b-que, will panic and sell, making the sell off even worse... The people that bought these risk assets for the 'right reason', which was to diversify their investment portfolios, so that not all their investments were denominated in dollars, and to provide a hedge against further potential losses by the dollar, and to reduce their overall risk for their investment portfolio, will just batten down the hatches, hunker down, and ride this out... And... If any thing, look to pick up more of these risk assets at cheaper levels as we go along......